North Florida
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 93.8008Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 11- 3 211 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 3 217 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 3- 7 218 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0-10 220 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 0- 9 306 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 3- 2 307 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 13- 4 308 H Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 8- 0 324 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 422 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 1- 4 505 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 8- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Auburn 11- 3 8 0 +++ 8.21
211 H Marshall 4- 3 1 1 0.32
217 A Florida 3- 7 -4 -5 0.63
218 H Florida 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.85
220 A Grand Canyon 0- 9 -9 -3 --- -6.39
306 H Southern Miss 3- 2 1 3 -1.88
307 H Georgia Southern 13- 4 9 4 ++ 5.10
308 H Georgia Southern 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.10
324 A Florida State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.58
422 A UCF 1- 4 -3 -3 0.19
505 A Eastern Kentucky 8- 5 3 3 0.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Florida 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.85 220 A Grand Canyon 0- 9 -9 -3 --- -6.39 324 A Florida State 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.58 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Auburn 11- 3 8 0 +++ 8.21 307 H Georgia Southern 13- 4 9 4 ++ 5.10 308 H Georgia Southern 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 11- 3 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 2.29 61.77
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4- 3 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 2.29 57.72
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 3- 7 -2.21 17.16 0.74 2.29 -1.68
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0-10 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 2.29 -3.38
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 0- 9 -4.23 15.14 0.74 2.29 -3.99
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 3- 2 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 2.29 47.61
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 13- 4 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 2.29 42.95
3 H Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 8- 0 -9.26 10.11 -0.74 2.29 42.95
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 -2.42 16.95 0.74 2.29 -1.93
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 1- 4 -3.65 15.72 0.74 2.29 -3.33
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 8- 5 -9.70 9.67 0.74 2.29 47.72
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286.41
|
winning pts = 300.7282 losing points = -14.3158
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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